Week 6 and 7: Decision analysis

Mandatory Readings (nothing goes wrong if you don't read them 🤓, believe me 🫡)

• Lecture Notes: Augmented Spatial Planning

• Epstein J. M. Why Model? Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 11(4)12 Optional Reading Materials:

• Mathematical and Computational Modelling of Doubly Complex Systems: Theoretical reflections on the theory and the practice of the Scientific Method in modelling the social and temporal dynamics of societal phenomena

• Cellular Agent Based Models Introducing Cellular Agent Based Modeling & Their Application in Design and Analysis of Built Environments
• Big Questions about Literally Small Worlds: What is the appeal of small worlds, Complexity or Simplicity?
• On Evaluation and Optimization; preliminaries for impact assessment

Practical Guidelines for Building Planning Support Systems in Python:

• TWIN-NEXUS 1.0 An Open Source Digital Twinning Workbench in Python

• PyDeck

• 3D Geospatial Digital Twinning Workbench in Python

• Location on Networks CUL

• Location on Networks MIT

• Location Science

• Facility Location Problems

Lecture - Models and Decisions | Dr. MArch. P. Nourian

Link to video

Exemplary works on using Digital Twins for Planning Support and Policy Analysis:

• Simulating Urban Complexity for City Co-Creation on Three Scales, PhD Dissertation Javier Argota Sanchez-Vaquerizo, ETH Zurich

Exercise 4 (20 points)

PROCESS AND ANALYSIS - Write one to two pages (include at least three diagrams, a conceptual framework, a use-case diagram, and a data-flow diagram, take a look at the Gemini Principles ♊, you can follow the example of the EquiCity Game 🎮 for the diagrams and use the free tool Draw.IO✒️ for creating them)

• What are your user stories? ▶️ Represent the specific added value of your digital planning tool in a Use-Case Diagram and describe it briefly in text.
• How do you want to translate the questions and problems of users to queries and data processing functions? ▶️ Represent your data processing pipelines as a Data Flow Diagram and describe it briefly in text.

• Describe the overall Conceptual Framework e.g. based on the DPSIR framework

  • Which human decisions or natural condition variables can be assumed as driver forces that affect the outcomes of interest (a.k.a. performance indicators or impact factors or policy targets, among other names)?
  • What is the pressures genereted by these conditions?
  • What are the states or conditions of the environment affected by the pressures?
  • What are the impacts either biological, social, economic or environmental that the change of state create?
  • What are possible key indicators that stakeholders would need to respond to the changes in the system?

• Create a Flowchart explaining the relationships of the previous items, identify which are inputs and outputs. Remember using the outputs from preparation Assignment 3.

• Review if you require more data for completing your model.

Live office hour

This week there will not be a Live office hour. You can leave your question on the Discussion Forum

Suplementary Material - Optional